Do they really need more public money?
Over the weekend, I was quite disappointed to find the fourth largest investment firm, Lehman Brothers collapse. There had been plenty of speculation on companies that could bail out Lehman, and with Barclays walking out late Sunday evening, Lehman had no option but to file for bankruptcy. As far as my memory recollects, even last year, Lehman had posted above average net profits, despite the volatility in the market. Filing for a chapter 11 bankruptcy protection comes as a huge surprise. Arguably, it is one of the biggest collapses of the century. With a little over £300 billion bankruptcy, is the largest company ever to file for a Chapter 11 Bankruptcy protection, sending the world markets into a turmoil. A Chapter 11 Bankruptcy protection allows businesses to continue trading while they restructure and reorganise their sick units. This could also spell thousands of job losses around the world for a company which employs over 25000 people.
In essence, the public feel the pinch for Lehman’s failed fortunes. The repercussions may be varied affecting economies all around the world. A situation which even Adam Smith wouldn’t be proud of to theorise his learning. Yesterday, one of the employees of Lehman brothers was quoted in a leading national daily about how there were no jobs in the economy and how he had managed to save enough to last the gloom without seeking employment. Despite the economic gloom in the last couple of years, finance executives have paid themselves unimaginable and envious bonuses, for investing in financial instruments which are incomprehensible to the common man. Shares, bonds, yields, derivatives, mortgages, swaps, futures and all other complicated jargon you could find in a finance text book. But in the end, who shoulders the burden of a failure? Many companies have been bailed out recently. From Northern Rock in the UK to Bear Sterns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the US. With Merill Lynch selling itself to avoid a similar situation and a troubled insurer AIG facing a similar collapse, are we prepared for another bailout?
Firstly, a collapse of such magnitude could potentially wipe out other valued businesses. Since the announcement yesterday, markets world over have nearly lost one third of their values. It is hard to unravel Lehman’s investments as it literally works with every major entity worldwide from Governments to businesses and financial institutions. It manages funds and investments for these entities. So a collapse would mean the credit in the market has evaporated. Which again means no 0% finance on anything, from credit cards to housing, macbooks to automobiles, iphones to holidays, everything on credit will be seen as a risk. When there is such apprehension in the market, the consumer spending power reduces drastically, resulting in a severe economic crisis. Moreover, such failures will result in lower capital inflows to developing countries leading to a slower investing growth. End of the India Shining story unless the Government intervenes to relax regulations for businesses to borrow from overseas. For individuals, bridging the rich and poor divide becomes much more harder as banks tighten their policies towards mortgages. There was a nice illustration by an Indian TV news channel when Bear Sterns went bust. “Mr. India cannot afford a house because, Mr. America had defaulted on his mortgage payments”.
It all started with one mismanagement – that of Bear Sterns which has had a Domino affect on the world financial industry. Inadequate regulation, which in effect, allowed financial firms to risk investments should have been tightened earlier to avoid such crisis. This would have encouraged financial firms to spread their bets evenly rather than exposing investments to a high degree of risk.
Economics is indeed a complicated subject!
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